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scientific method

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• University of Nevada, Reno - College of Agriculture, Biotechnology and Natural Resources Extension - The Scientific Method
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• Verywell Mind - Scientific Method Steps in Psychology Research
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• National Center for Biotechnology Information - PubMed Central - Redefining the scientific method: as the use of sophisticated scientific methods that extend our mind
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scientific method , mathematical and experimental technique employed in the sciences . More specifically, it is the technique used in the construction and testing of a scientific hypothesis .

The process of observing, asking questions, and seeking answers through tests and experiments is not unique to any one field of science. In fact, the scientific method is applied broadly in science, across many different fields. Many empirical sciences, especially the social sciences , use mathematical tools borrowed from probability theory and statistics , together with outgrowths of these, such as decision theory , game theory , utility theory, and operations research . Philosophers of science have addressed general methodological problems, such as the nature of scientific explanation and the justification of induction .

The scientific method is critical to the development of scientific theories , which explain empirical (experiential) laws in a scientifically rational manner. In a typical application of the scientific method, a researcher develops a hypothesis , tests it through various means, and then modifies the hypothesis on the basis of the outcome of the tests and experiments. The modified hypothesis is then retested, further modified, and tested again, until it becomes consistent with observed phenomena and testing outcomes. In this way, hypotheses serve as tools by which scientists gather data. From that data and the many different scientific investigations undertaken to explore hypotheses, scientists are able to develop broad general explanations, or scientific theories.

See also Mill’s methods ; hypothetico-deductive method .

1.2 The Scientific Methods

Section learning objectives.

By the end of this section, you will be able to do the following:

• Explain how the methods of science are used to make scientific discoveries
• Define a scientific model and describe examples of physical and mathematical models used in physics
• Compare and contrast hypothesis, theory, and law

Teacher Support

The learning objectives in this section will help your students master the following standards:

• (A) know the definition of science and understand that it has limitations, as specified in subsection (b)(2) of this section;
• (B) know that scientific hypotheses are tentative and testable statements that must be capable of being supported or not supported by observational evidence. Hypotheses of durable explanatory power which have been tested over a wide variety of conditions are incorporated into theories;
• (C) know that scientific theories are based on natural and physical phenomena and are capable of being tested by multiple independent researchers. Unlike hypotheses, scientific theories are well-established and highly-reliable explanations, but may be subject to change as new areas of science and new technologies are developed;
• (D) distinguish between scientific hypotheses and scientific theories.

Section Key Terms

[OL] Pre-assessment for this section could involve students sharing or writing down an anecdote about when they used the methods of science. Then, students could label their thought processes in their anecdote with the appropriate scientific methods. The class could also discuss their definitions of theory and law, both outside and within the context of science.

[OL] It should be noted and possibly mentioned that a scientist , as mentioned in this section, does not necessarily mean a trained scientist. It could be anyone using methods of science.

Scientific Methods

Scientists often plan and carry out investigations to answer questions about the universe around us. These investigations may lead to natural laws. Such laws are intrinsic to the universe, meaning that humans did not create them and cannot change them. We can only discover and understand them. Their discovery is a very human endeavor, with all the elements of mystery, imagination, struggle, triumph, and disappointment inherent in any creative effort. The cornerstone of discovering natural laws is observation. Science must describe the universe as it is, not as we imagine or wish it to be.

We all are curious to some extent. We look around, make generalizations, and try to understand what we see. For example, we look up and wonder whether one type of cloud signals an oncoming storm. As we become serious about exploring nature, we become more organized and formal in collecting and analyzing data. We attempt greater precision, perform controlled experiments (if we can), and write down ideas about how data may be organized. We then formulate models, theories, and laws based on the data we have collected, and communicate those results with others. This, in a nutshell, describes the scientific method that scientists employ to decide scientific issues on the basis of evidence from observation and experiment.

An investigation often begins with a scientist making an observation . The scientist observes a pattern or trend within the natural world. Observation may generate questions that the scientist wishes to answer. Next, the scientist may perform some research about the topic and devise a hypothesis . A hypothesis is a testable statement that describes how something in the natural world works. In essence, a hypothesis is an educated guess that explains something about an observation.

[OL] An educated guess is used throughout this section in describing a hypothesis to combat the tendency to think of a theory as an educated guess.

Scientists may test the hypothesis by performing an experiment . During an experiment, the scientist collects data that will help them learn about the phenomenon they are studying. Then the scientists analyze the results of the experiment (that is, the data), often using statistical, mathematical, and/or graphical methods. From the data analysis, they draw conclusions. They may conclude that their experiment either supports or rejects their hypothesis. If the hypothesis is supported, the scientist usually goes on to test another hypothesis related to the first. If their hypothesis is rejected, they will often then test a new and different hypothesis in their effort to learn more about whatever they are studying.

Scientific processes can be applied to many situations. Let’s say that you try to turn on your car, but it will not start. You have just made an observation! You ask yourself, "Why won’t my car start?" You can now use scientific processes to answer this question. First, you generate a hypothesis such as, "The car won’t start because it has no gasoline in the gas tank." To test this hypothesis, you put gasoline in the car and try to start it again. If the car starts, then your hypothesis is supported by the experiment. If the car does not start, then your hypothesis is rejected. You will then need to think up a new hypothesis to test such as, "My car won’t start because the fuel pump is broken." Hopefully, your investigations lead you to discover why the car won’t start and enable you to fix it.

A model is a representation of something that is often too difficult (or impossible) to study directly. Models can take the form of physical models, equations, computer programs, or simulations—computer graphics/animations. Models are tools that are especially useful in modern physics because they let us visualize phenomena that we normally cannot observe with our senses, such as very small objects or objects that move at high speeds. For example, we can understand the structure of an atom using models, without seeing an atom with our own eyes. Although images of single atoms are now possible, these images are extremely difficult to achieve and are only possible due to the success of our models. The existence of these images is a consequence rather than a source of our understanding of atoms. Models are always approximate, so they are simpler to consider than the real situation; the more complete a model is, the more complicated it must be. Models put the intangible or the extremely complex into human terms that we can visualize, discuss, and hypothesize about.

Scientific models are constructed based on the results of previous experiments. Even still, models often only describe a phenomenon partially or in a few limited situations. Some phenomena are so complex that they may be impossible to model them in their entirety, even using computers. An example is the electron cloud model of the atom in which electrons are moving around the atom’s center in distinct clouds ( Figure 1.12 ), that represent the likelihood of finding an electron in different places. This model helps us to visualize the structure of an atom. However, it does not show us exactly where an electron will be within its cloud at any one particular time.

As mentioned previously, physicists use a variety of models including equations, physical models, computer simulations, etc. For example, three-dimensional models are often commonly used in chemistry and physics to model molecules. Properties other than appearance or location are usually modelled using mathematics, where functions are used to show how these properties relate to one another. Processes such as the formation of a star or the planets, can also be modelled using computer simulations. Once a simulation is correctly programmed based on actual experimental data, the simulation can allow us to view processes that happened in the past or happen too quickly or slowly for us to observe directly. In addition, scientists can also run virtual experiments using computer-based models. In a model of planet formation, for example, the scientist could alter the amount or type of rocks present in space and see how it affects planet formation.

Scientists use models and experimental results to construct explanations of observations or design solutions to problems. For example, one way to make a car more fuel efficient is to reduce the friction or drag caused by air flowing around the moving car. This can be done by designing the body shape of the car to be more aerodynamic, such as by using rounded corners instead of sharp ones. Engineers can then construct physical models of the car body, place them in a wind tunnel, and examine the flow of air around the model. This can also be done mathematically in a computer simulation. The air flow pattern can be analyzed for regions smooth air flow and for eddies that indicate drag. The model of the car body may have to be altered slightly to produce the smoothest pattern of air flow (i.e., the least drag). The pattern with the least drag may be the solution to increasing fuel efficiency of the car. This solution might then be incorporated into the car design.

Using Models and the Scientific Processes

Be sure to secure loose items before opening the window or door.

In this activity, you will learn about scientific models by making a model of how air flows through your classroom or a room in your house.

• One room with at least one window or door that can be opened
• Work with a group of four, as directed by your teacher. Close all of the windows and doors in the room you are working in. Your teacher may assign you a specific window or door to study.
• Before opening any windows or doors, draw a to-scale diagram of your room. First, measure the length and width of your room using the tape measure. Then, transform the measurement using a scale that could fit on your paper, such as 5 centimeters = 1 meter.
• Your teacher will assign you a specific window or door to study air flow. On your diagram, add arrows showing your hypothesis (before opening any windows or doors) of how air will flow through the room when your assigned window or door is opened. Use pencil so that you can easily make changes to your diagram.
• On your diagram, mark four locations where you would like to test air flow in your room. To test for airflow, hold a strip of single ply tissue paper between the thumb and index finger. Note the direction that the paper moves when exposed to the airflow. Then, for each location, predict which way the paper will move if your air flow diagram is correct.
• Now, each member of your group will stand in one of the four selected areas. Each member will test the airflow Agree upon an approximate height at which everyone will hold their papers.
• When you teacher tells you to, open your assigned window and/or door. Each person should note the direction that their paper points immediately after the window or door was opened. Record your results on your diagram.
• Did the airflow test data support or refute the hypothetical model of air flow shown in your diagram? Why or why not? Correct your model based on your experimental evidence.
• With your group, discuss how accurate your model is. What limitations did it have? Write down the limitations that your group agreed upon.
• Yes, you could use your model to predict air flow through a new window. The earlier experiment of air flow would help you model the system more accurately.
• Yes, you could use your model to predict air flow through a new window. The earlier experiment of air flow is not useful for modeling the new system.
• No, you cannot model a system to predict the air flow through a new window. The earlier experiment of air flow would help you model the system more accurately.
• No, you cannot model a system to predict the air flow through a new window. The earlier experiment of air flow is not useful for modeling the new system.

This Snap Lab! has students construct a model of how air flows in their classroom. Each group of four students will create a model of air flow in their classroom using a scale drawing of the room. Then, the groups will test the validity of their model by placing weathervanes that they have constructed around the room and opening a window or door. By observing the weather vanes, students will see how air actually flows through the room from a specific window or door. Students will then correct their model based on their experimental evidence. The following material list is given per group:

• One room with at least one window or door that can be opened (An optimal configuration would be one window or door per group.)
• Several pieces of construction paper (at least four per group)
• Strips of single ply tissue paper
• One tape measure (long enough to measure the dimensions of the room)
• Group size can vary depending on the number of windows/doors available and the number of students in the class.
• The room dimensions could be provided by the teacher. Also, students may need a brief introduction in how to make a drawing to scale.
• This is another opportunity to discuss controlled experiments in terms of why the students should hold the strips of tissue paper at the same height and in the same way. One student could also serve as a control and stand far away from the window/door or in another area that will not receive air flow from the window/door.
• You will probably need to coordinate this when multiple windows or doors are used. Only one window or door should be opened at a time for best results. Between openings, allow a short period (5 minutes) when all windows and doors are closed, if possible.

Answers to the Grasp Check will vary, but the air flow in the new window or door should be based on what the students observed in their experiment.

Scientific Laws and Theories

A scientific law is a description of a pattern in nature that is true in all circumstances that have been studied. That is, physical laws are meant to be universal , meaning that they apply throughout the known universe. Laws are often also concise, whereas theories are more complicated. A law can be expressed in the form of a single sentence or mathematical equation. For example, Newton’s second law of motion , which relates the motion of an object to the force applied ( F ), the mass of the object ( m ), and the object’s acceleration ( a ), is simply stated using the equation

Scientific ideas and explanations that are true in many, but not all situations in the universe are usually called principles . An example is Pascal’s principle , which explains properties of liquids, but not solids or gases. However, the distinction between laws and principles is sometimes not carefully made in science.

A theory is an explanation for patterns in nature that is supported by much scientific evidence and verified multiple times by multiple researchers. While many people confuse theories with educated guesses or hypotheses, theories have withstood more rigorous testing and verification than hypotheses.

[OL] Explain to students that in informal, everyday English the word theory can be used to describe an idea that is possibly true but that has not been proven to be true. This use of the word theory often leads people to think that scientific theories are nothing more than educated guesses. This is not just a misconception among students, but among the general public as well.

As a closing idea about scientific processes, we want to point out that scientific laws and theories, even those that have been supported by experiments for centuries, can still be changed by new discoveries. This is especially true when new technologies emerge that allow us to observe things that were formerly unobservable. Imagine how viewing previously invisible objects with a microscope or viewing Earth for the first time from space may have instantly changed our scientific theories and laws! What discoveries still await us in the future? The constant retesting and perfecting of our scientific laws and theories allows our knowledge of nature to progress. For this reason, many scientists are reluctant to say that their studies prove anything. By saying support instead of prove , it keeps the door open for future discoveries, even if they won’t occur for centuries or even millennia.

[OL] With regard to scientists avoiding using the word prove , the general public knows that science has proven certain things such as that the heart pumps blood and the Earth is round. However, scientists should shy away from using prove because it is impossible to test every single instance and every set of conditions in a system to absolutely prove anything. Using support or similar terminology leaves the door open for further discovery.

Check Your Understanding

• Models are simpler to analyze.
• Models give more accurate results.
• Models provide more reliable predictions.
• Models do not require any computer calculations.
• They are the same.
• A hypothesis has been thoroughly tested and found to be true.
• A hypothesis is a tentative assumption based on what is already known.
• A hypothesis is a broad explanation firmly supported by evidence.
• A scientific model is a representation of something that can be easily studied directly. It is useful for studying things that can be easily analyzed by humans.
• A scientific model is a representation of something that is often too difficult to study directly. It is useful for studying a complex system or systems that humans cannot observe directly.
• A scientific model is a representation of scientific equipment. It is useful for studying working principles of scientific equipment.
• A scientific model is a representation of a laboratory where experiments are performed. It is useful for studying requirements needed inside the laboratory.
• The hypothesis must be validated by scientific experiments.
• The hypothesis must not include any physical quantity.
• The hypothesis must be a short and concise statement.
• The hypothesis must apply to all the situations in the universe.
• A scientific theory is an explanation of natural phenomena that is supported by evidence.
• A scientific theory is an explanation of natural phenomena without the support of evidence.
• A scientific theory is an educated guess about the natural phenomena occurring in nature.
• A scientific theory is an uneducated guess about natural phenomena occurring in nature.
• A hypothesis is an explanation of the natural world with experimental support, while a scientific theory is an educated guess about a natural phenomenon.
• A hypothesis is an educated guess about natural phenomenon, while a scientific theory is an explanation of natural world with experimental support.
• A hypothesis is experimental evidence of a natural phenomenon, while a scientific theory is an explanation of the natural world with experimental support.
• A hypothesis is an explanation of the natural world with experimental support, while a scientific theory is experimental evidence of a natural phenomenon.

Use the Check Your Understanding questions to assess students’ achievement of the section’s learning objectives. If students are struggling with a specific objective, the Check Your Understanding will help identify which objective and direct students to the relevant content.

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Want to cite, share, or modify this book? This book uses the Creative Commons Attribution License and you must attribute Texas Education Agency (TEA). The original material is available at: https://www.texasgateway.org/book/tea-physics . Changes were made to the original material, including updates to art, structure, and other content updates.

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Scientific Method Example

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The scientific method is a series of steps that scientific investigators follow to answer specific questions about the natural world. Scientists use the scientific method to make observations, formulate hypotheses , and conduct scientific experiments .

A scientific inquiry starts with an observation. Then, the formulation of a question about what has been observed follows. Next, the scientist will proceed through the remaining steps of the scientific method to end at a conclusion.

The six steps of the scientific method are as follows:

Observation

The first step of the scientific method involves making an observation about something that interests you. Taking an interest in your scientific discovery is important, for example, if you are doing a science project , because you will want to work on something that holds your attention. Your observation can be of anything from plant movement to animal behavior, as long as it is something you want to know more about.​ This step is when you will come up with an idea if you are working on a science project.

Once you have made your observation, you must formulate a question about what you observed. Your question should summarize what it is you are trying to discover or accomplish in your experiment. When stating your question, be as specific as possible.​ For example, if you are doing a project on plants , you may want to know how plants interact with microbes. Your question could be: Do plant spices inhibit bacterial growth ?

The hypothesis is a key component of the scientific process. A hypothesis is an idea that is suggested as an explanation for a natural event, a particular experience, or a specific condition that can be tested through definable experimentation. It states the purpose of your experiment, the variables used, and the predicted outcome of your experiment. It is important to note that a hypothesis must be testable. That means that you should be able to test your hypothesis through experimentation .​ Your hypothesis must either be supported or falsified by your experiment. An example of a good hypothesis is: If there is a relation between listening to music and heart rate, then listening to music will cause a person's resting heart rate to either increase or decrease.

Once you have developed a hypothesis, you must design and conduct an experiment that will test it. You should develop a procedure that states clearly how you plan to conduct your experiment. It is important you include and identify a controlled variable or dependent variable in your procedure. Controls allow us to test a single variable in an experiment because they are unchanged. We can then make observations and comparisons between our controls and our independent variables (things that change in the experiment) to develop an accurate conclusion.​

The results are where you report what happened in the experiment. That includes detailing all observations and data made during your experiment. Most people find it easier to visualize the data by charting or graphing the information.​

Developing a conclusion is the final step of the scientific method. This is where you analyze the results from the experiment and reach a determination about the hypothesis. Did the experiment support or reject your hypothesis? If your hypothesis was supported, great. If not, repeat the experiment or think of ways to improve your procedure.

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Scientific Method

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The scientific method is the process by which scientists of all fields attempt to explain the phenomena in the world. It is how science is conducted--through experimentation. Generally, the scientific method refers to a set of steps whereby a scientist can form a conjecture (the hypothesis) for why something functions the way it does and then test their hypothesis. It is an empirical process; it uses real world data to prove the hypothesis. There is no exact set of \(x\) number of steps to conduct scientific experiments, or even some exact \(y\) number of experiments, but the general process involves making an observation, forming an hypothesis, forming a prediction from that hypothesis, and then experimental testing. The scientific method isn't limited to the physical or biological sciences, but also the social sciences, mathematics, computing and other fields where experimentation can be used to prove beliefs.

We could observe that whenever a fire is smothered, it goes out. For instance a small fire that is covered with a blanket is extinguished. We could hypothesize that the reason for this is that fire requires some gas in our air to form and remain a flame. We could then use a vacuum chamber to test this theory. We would predict that outside of a vacuum, a fire could be lit but inside of a vacuum, with no air, that the fire would not ignite. If we were to test this theory, perhaps in multiple vacuums with multiple forms of tinder/fuel (wood, paper, petrol, etc.) and multiple means of ignition, we would notice that the fire never ignites. If we wished, we could further refine our hypothesis, suggesting that fire can only ignite if there is sufficient oxygen in the air. This we'd also test in the vacuum chamber, by pulling out all the air, then adding in different gases. We would notice that the fire would only ignite in the presence of oxygen or an oxidizing agent . It is possible that other, incorrect hypothesis could have been initially formed--such as smothering decreases the surface area the fire has, and could try making different sized fires--and been proven incorrect. Also, it is important to note that this single set of experiments is not enough to turn this hypothesis into a theorem. More experimentation and discovery would be necessary.

The scientific method also refers to the fact that science is ongoing . In some cases scientists continue to collect data to prove and disprove old theories. Or in other cases, scientists have hypothesis for why the universe behaves the way it does but are unable to gather sufficient data to prove their hypothesis. For instance, until recent discoveries at LIGO scientists could not confirm what happened when two black holes collided, although they believed (and it was confirmed in February 2016) that colliding black holes produced gravitational waves .

Steps of the Scientific Method

Falsifiability and why "theory" doesn't mean "untrue", avoiding bias, history and philosophy of science.

The scientific method is often presented as a set of steps, but not always with the same number or type of steps. However, philosophers of science generally agree that any presentation of the scientific method should have the following four steps:

• Observe - Sometimes referred to as characterizing, defining, or measuring, experimenters first witness some aspect of the universe, for instance, an apple falling. These observations then form a question, such as "Why do objects fall to the earth?"
• Hypothesize - Scientists then come up with a theory as to why this happens, for instance, the mass of the earth attracts the apple from the air to the ground.
• Predict - Using the hypothesis, a scientist calculates what measurable data points they believe will result in a given experiment, for instance an apple at a height of \(9.8\) meters should fall to the ground in \(\sqrt{2}\) seconds, or should be at a velocity of \(9.8\sqrt{2}\) m/s the moment before it hits the ground.
• Experiment - A test is run to determine if the prediction was correct.

With the notion that repeating these steps is also important. If a prediction is proven to be incorrect then alternative predictions and tests are conducted. Maybe even a new hypothesis could be formulated. Even if the hypothesis and prediction are correct, additional predictions and tests need to be run to best support any theory.

While this process can be explained or categorized differently than this, all formulations of the scientific method have empirical observations, a testable hypothesis, and testing data to prove or disprove that hypothesis. Crucial to this, is that an experimenter searches for experiments that produce the most unlikely results and experiments that are least likely to be coincidental . Hypotheses that produce highly unlikely predictions, in situations where little else could explain the result, are more likely to be true. Bayes' theorem can be used to show which predictions are more or less unlikely given some evidence, i.e. which proven predictions are "stronger" than others. For instance, the theory of evolution has been supported by the consistency of DNA across species whose phenomenology are significantly different. Despite the diversity of plant and animal species on Earth, the majority of our DNA is the same, and only 20 amino acids are the building blocks for every known living organism. It would be highly unlikely that vastly different forms of life have the same building blocks after millions, if not billions, of years of external manipulation, if not for some common origin.

The word "theory" can lead to confusion about how true some scientific principle is. Under the scientific method scientists use the word "theory" even for key principles (like gravity) that have been rigorously proven by modern science. This is because the scientific community believes it is important that hypothesis be falsifiable . Falsifiability refers to the fact that theories have been tested in experiments where they could have failed but did not. So when scientists refer to a principle as a theory, for instance Einstein's theory of relativity , they're actually referring to a hypothesis that has undergone the scientific method, i.e. that has been tested and proven true.

For instance, scientists sometimes refer to evolution as the "theory of evolution," which has contributed to the erroneous belief that the modern scientific theory of evolution is false. Really what the "theory of evolution" refers to is the ample research, testing, and empirical evidence that all consistently prove evolution to be true.

That isn't to say that theories can't be later disproven. Part of the advantage to the scientific method is that no theory is ever considered an unbreakable rule. Some theories seem correct given experiments that are run at the time they're created, but are proven wrong as new methods of experimentation are conducted. For instance, Einstein himself believed that the universe was static, not growing or contracting. That was later proven to be false and replaced with a theory that the universe was expanding (the Friedmann-LeMaitre model of an expanding universe , which Einstein himself accepted), but that its rate of expansion was slowing down. This was, in turn, also proven incorrect. The rate of the universe's expansion is speeding up. [1] Generally though, theories are modified over time, they are shown to be true under certain conditions, or partly true, and the strength of a theory may also be related to how long it has held up, without modification, to scrutiny.

Peer review: In modern science, experimenters present both their findings and their methodology for review by their peers, other talented scientists and experimenters. This is done before a work is published, but also publication itself is considered a way of inviting peer review. By sharing and disseminating work widely, the greatest number of others can review the work and offer criticism as needed.

Reproducibility: Related to peer review, is the notion that the results from experiments should be possible to reproduce. If one scientist conducts some experiment, others should be able to conduct the same experiment on their own and achieve the same results. Reproducible experiments strengthen theories.

Double-Blind Testing: Primarily used in medical , psychological , and behavioral economic testing, double-blind testing refers to having a test and control group, and running the experiment such that the person conducting the experiment does not know which is which. For instance, in testing the efficacy of a new drug, a pharmaceutical company may have a medical practitioner administer the new drug to one third of the test population, an existing known drug to another third, and a placebo, meaning something that isn't a drug but seems like it, to the remaining third of the test population, but without the nurse knowing which drug is which. The practitioner would then, still blind, track the progress of the entire testing population, gathering data about each test subject.

Double-blind studies are done to avoid biases that manipulate data, like controlling for the placebo effect where just giving a patient a drug that they perceive will be a cure can be causally linked to a decrease in symptoms. This positive causal effect occurs even with the drug that shouldn't affect the patient in anyway, when it is a sugar pill, or water, so long as the patient believes they are receiving a cure. Also double-blind studies help prevent observation bias, where the administrator of the drug may expect the population who received the new drug to outperform others, and so many inadvertently rate their progress better than other test groups.

A pharmaceutical company has a new drug they want to test to determine its efficacy. They have a hypothesis that this drug is super effective at curing a disease. Which of the following experiments/results best reflects the principles of the scientific method? Which is most scientific?

A) They gave 100 patients with the disease the drug and 100 patients a placebo from a population of 100,000 with the disease, they strictly controlled these patient's diet, limited other medication, and 77 of the subjects reported that their happiness improved significantly.

B) They found a remote island with an indigenous population that's genetically different from other populations and where 200 patients have the disease. They gave 100 patients on the island the drug and 100 a placebo. They strictly controlled these patient's diet, limited other medication, and found that 84 of the test patients had higher red and white blood cell count than the control group, and lower incidents of mortality from the disease than non-island populations.

C) They gave 100 patients with the disease the drug and 100 patients a placebo from a population of 100,000 with the disease, they strictly controlled these patient's diet, limited other medication, and found that only 5 of the test patients had higher red and white blood cell count than the control group, with no other changes in health.

D) They gave 100 patients with the disease the drug and 100 patients a placebo from a population of 100,000 with the disease, allowed both patients to consume and medicate in whatever way those patients desired, and found that 68 of the test patients had higher red and white blood cell count than the control group, with faster speed-to-recovery.

The theory of the scientific method has evolved over time, with modern historians pointing to Aristotle as an originator, and many looking to Thomas Kuhn's seminal work "The Structure of Scientific Revolutions" as a key influence on current conceptions of the method.

Aristotle classified reasoning into three types:

• Abductive - Also known as guessing, abductive reasoning supposes that the most likely inference is correct. While this isn't rigorous, a well-informed individual is likely to make good guesses, and many significant theories of science have developed first from a guess.
• Deductive - Deductive reasoning uses premises to reach conclusions. One of the most famous examples being "All men are mortal. Socrates is a man. Therefore, Socrates is mortal."
• Inductive - Inductive reasoning is the one preferred by scientists, and can be considered an early version of the scientific method. Namely, inductive reasoning uses empirical observations to make inferences, and accounts for probability in those inferences. A theory reached by induction is said to be more or less likely to be true, stronger or weaker.

The philosophy of science refers to the logic and thinking behind the scientific method. It questions what makes something scientifically valid. For instance, the scientific method assumes that reality is objective, and that explanations exist for all phenomena humans can observe.

Thomas Kuhn's book is foundational to the philosophy of science and the way sociologists and historians look at science through the ages. In it, he popularized the term "paradigm shift" and promoted a historical understanding of scientific discovery not as a linear accumulation of understanding, but as a set of scientific revolutions that "shift" humanity's understanding. Further, paradigm shifts open up whole fields (for instance quantum mechanics , behavioral economics or genetics ) with new approaches to understand the universe. Also what scientists consider true is not purely objective, but based on the consensus of the scientific community.

• Nobelprize.org, . The Nobel Prize in Physics 2011 Saul Perlmutter, Brian P. Schmidt, Adam G. Riess . Retrieved October 24th 2016, from http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/physics/laureates/2011/

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